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Vitaly nightingale mgimo. Professor mgimo valery solovey: the Bolsheviks did not have enough internet for the world revolution

Why did the "liberal" get-together again get into trouble, this time with Professor Nightingale. Why is Professor Nightingale changing political views so rapidly, and why their absence is a sign that the professor is a pro in his specialty.

The "liberal" crowd (in order to avoid misunderstandings, it should be noted that this community has the same relation to liberalism as J.'s business project called LDPR) has a new idol - the former head of the public relations department of MGIMO Valery Solovey. His insights from the "corridors of Kremlin power" made him a welcome guest on Echo of Moscow, Dozhd, RBK, Republic.ru and other media, where his constant presence forms the community of the "liberal" crowd, and ardent criticism of the authorities and strong predictions made Valery Dmitrievich to the rank of guru. The recent departure from MGIMO, which, according to the professor himself, was due to "political pressure" created an aura of the persecuted around him and gave him a chance to move from the status of a guru to the rank of a civil and political leader. Valery Solovey did not fail to take advantage of this by announcing the formation of a certain “civil coalition”.

And all would be fine, but whenever Valery Dmitrievich uttered his rebellious speeches, smashing the Kremlin from a liberal position, some bad people sent a video from his speech in Vladimir Solovyov's program "Duel", in which the professor acted in Zyuganov's team and defended Stalin from the "liberal" Gozman.

In this speech, Valery Dmitrievich explained to Leonid Yakovlevich that they live with him “in different countries”, since “in the country of the gozmans it is customary to spit on mass graves”. In addition, Professor Nightingale said that "the consequences of the liberal reforms that took place in the 90s in terms of their losses are comparable to what happened in the 30s and that is attributed to Stalin."

In this two-minute fragment of his speech, Valery Dmitrievich included so many markers characterizing his political and human face that it is somehow even embarrassing to decipher and comment on them. "Gentlemen gozmans", "spitting on mass graves" ... "The losses from the liberal reforms of the 90s are comparable to the losses of the 30s" ... Replace Professor Nightingale with the caveman Stalinists Starikov or Prokhanov and you will hear exactly the same rhetoric.

Last week, Nightingale, speaking at Echo, decided to explain himself, after which he and Leonid Gozman exchanged open letters. First, Valery Solovey explained that all discussions about Stalin are in favor of the Kremlin, since they form a “false agenda”: has nothing to do with the present. " End of quote.

To a reasonable question from the host, why did he himself take part in creating a "false agenda", participating in this discussion about Stalin, Nightingale with a disarming smile replied: "a man is weak and vain." When the presenter began to inquire why the Nightingale, who criticizes the authorities today from liberal positions, took part in the discussion on Zyuganov's side, defending Stalin, Valery Dmitrievich first tried to deny, they say, he “did not defend” either Zyuganov or Stalin, and then, apparently realizing the absurdity of denying the obvious, he referred to the "evolution of views."

Special attention should be paid to the "evolution of views" of Professor Nightingale. During that memorable speech on the side of Zyuganov and in defense of Stalin, Valery Dmitrievich tried to ideologically lead the Russian nationalists, created for this purpose the nationalist party "New Force", and became its chairman. In those days, this period of 2011 - 2013, Valery Solovey spoke mainly from the tribunes of the nationalist and Stalinist media in company with people like Vitaly Tretyakov, Alexander Dugin, Mikhail Delyagin, etc. Evolution and even a revolutionary change of views is a completely normal thing, the whole question is when and under the influence of what reasons it occurs.

In the late 80s - early 90s, the views of many people changed under the influence of a huge amount of new information, including about the past of our country. In 2013, Nightingale stands on the side of Zyuganov and defends Stalin from the "liberals" and "gozmans". And in 2017, he enters the campaign headquarters of presidential candidate Titov as a curator of ideology and declares that it will be the ideology of "right-wing liberalism." It is difficult to assume that in the interval between 2013 and 2017, Valery Dmitrievich learned something new about Stalinism or liberalism. The reason for the "evolution of views" of Professor Nightingale is about the same that during the years of Soviet power forced people like him to hesitate along with the party line, and after the collapse of the USSR, led former experts on scientific atheism to stand in church with candles.

Professor Nightingale headed the Department of Public Relations at MGIMO, that is, he is a PR specialist. This profession has its own rules, the most important of which is the priority of the customer's interests. Valery Dmitrievich got involved in defending the positions of Zyuganov and Stalin - explains about the "inseparability" of Stalin from Victory. Received an order to create a nationalist party - will justify the priority of the Russian people and the harmfulness of the "gozmans". Assigned to supervise the ideology for the "Party of Growth" Boris Titov, Professor Nightingale will hit the ground and instantly turn into a right-wing liberal, defending the freedom of small business and the delights of a competitive economy.

Professor Nightingale does not have any views, and their "evolution" depends solely on a change in market conditions. And further. Regarding the insights and forecasts of Professor Nightingale. On the website "Russian Platform", where Valery Solovey regularly spoke with nationalists Yegor Kholmogorov, Konstantin Krylov and his student, Vladimir Thor, on May 8, 2012 his article was published under the title "Bloody Sunday of Vladimir Putin", in which Professor Nightingale prophesies: " Putin will not sit out until the end of his presidential term. It's obvious now. " Further, Professor Nightingale points out the specific deadline for the death of the Putin regime - about six months. “Very soon we will see thousands and tens of thousands crushing police cordons on their way,” the rebellious professor broadcasts.

All this, according to Professor Nightingale, should happen in a matter of months. "This fall - a new rise!" - predicts Professor Nightingale. Let me remind you that it was in May 2012. 7 (seven) years have passed. Putin is still in the Kremlin, and Professor Nightingale is vanging today as if nothing had happened: “In 2020, Russia will face a revolution, a national crisis and a change of regime. Putin will not sit out until the end of his presidential term. "

I know many opponents of the Putin regime who are trying to see in the country and in the government some signs of the approaching end of this new type of fascism, and with impatience they make such predictions, each time making mistakes. But Professor Nightingale is a different case. A public relations professional should exude optimism when communicating with a customer. Yesterday Professor Nightingale served the Stalinists and nationalists and "made them beautiful." Today he serves the "liberal" crowd and "makes beautiful" for them.

The "liberal" crowd and the liberal society of Russia led by it, like a herd of sheep, all the time follow the "goats-provocateurs" who have come out of the Kremlin. Be it "Kashin-guru", or Ksenia Sobchak, or Belkovsky with Pavlovsky, or Prokhorov with his sister, or even Medvedev with freedom, which is "better than lack of freedom." According to recent studies, aquarium fish don't have such a bad memory that they can be compared to people who make the same mistakes all the time. So Russian liberals will have to find other analogies ...

Valery Solovey: by 2024 Russia will have 15-20 regions and state ideology

Valery Solovey, a political scientist and professor at MGIMO, expressed his opinion about rumors about an imminent constitutional reform in Russia.

Recently, the chairman of the constitutional court Valery Zorkin spoke about the need to change the country's Constitution.

According to Professor Nightingale, by 2024 in Russia the number of subjects of the federation will be reduced through unification and a state ideology will be introduced.

Valery Solovey:

I already had to write and speak on this topic, I will repeat myself with pleasure.

1. Preparation of the constitutional reform, or rather cardinal changes in a wide range of constitutional laws, was launched in the fall of 2017.

2. Changes were developed in the following areas:

a) the formation of a new configuration of state power and administration;

b) a radical reduction in the number of subjects of the federation (up to 15-20) by combining them for the purpose of ease of management, leveling the levels of development and neutralizing ethnic separatist tendencies;

c) decisive amendments to the laws on elections and political parties (not at all in the sense of liberalization);

d) the introduction of state ideology.
Well and one more thing.

3. Initially, it was not clear which of the changes and to what extent would be given the green light, and which would not.

But in any case, they were not supposed to be implemented all at the same time due to the predicted strong negative reaction.

4. Sine qua non - the reconfiguration of state power and administration, which should provide the institutional and legal framework for the transit of the system.

There are several options here too.

From the well-known model with the establishment of the State Council as an analogue of the Politburo and reducing the role of the president to representative and symbolic functions to, on the contrary, strengthening and expanding presidential powers and establishing the post of vice president. (There are several more options.)

5. The transit of the system should be carried out until 2024, in order to catch the enemies of the external and internal by surprise. It was assumed that the decisive years could be 2020-2021.

6. There is one and only reason why these terms could be shifted downward.

And this reason has nothing to do with politics and declining ratings. The situation is assessed as disturbing, but not critical and under control.

7. And even more so, there was no talk of any early elections and could not go. A radical change in the organization of state power and administration is not being carried out in order to hold elections and subject the system to severe stress.

8. Among the key beneficiaries of the reform, the authorities name three people who are already in the top ten of the elite in terms of their political and bureaucratic weight.

Political scientist, Doctor of Historical Sciences, Professor of the Department of Advertising and Public Relations of MGIMO Valery Solovey wrote on his Facebook page that he was quitting the university according to political reasons: "Personal and public. Today I applied for resignation of my own free will from MGIMO, where I worked for 11 years. For political reasons, the institute no longer wants to have any business with me. I understand this unwillingness. And I will be grateful if in the future. I will not be associated with MGIMO in any way ... About my plans. a very large European publishing house I will start writing a book, about which I will modestly keep silent. I will never return to teaching. Russia is entering an era of dramatic changeand I intend to take a very active part in them. Stay tuned ".

Friends and associates burst into words of support. Head of the Party of Change Dmitry Gudkov:"I wish you good luck and condolences to the students!"


Permanent observer "Echo of Moscow" Ksenia Larina: "It had to happen, you knew. And I am sure that you had no doubts about the choice of the path."


Biblical modernist Andrey Desnitsky: "Andrey Zubov (the notorious Vlasov professor - Approx.) Ceased to be needed by MGIMO five years ago, Valery Solovey just now. Looking at the foreign policy of the Russian Federation, you understand: and really, why are they there?"

Former member of the Central Council DPNI* (later - a liberal, a hater of "vatans" and the Russian World) Alexey "Yor" Mikhailov: "Milestone, yes. I wish you success and development, further creative and political self-realization! Well," Stay with us ")))".


Left

Israeli ultra-Zionist Avigdor Eskin: "This is takeoff. How many years will we see Professor Nightingale at the head of MGIMO? In 3 years? In 5 years?"


Opposition actress Elena Koreneva: "Naturally. Let's wait for the book!"


Poetess and coordinator of the Republican Alternative movement Alina Vitukhnovskaya: "Good luck!"

"Valery Dmitrievich ended his contract, and he made this independent decision - to leave of his own free will. What political reasons are in mind - it makes sense to clarify with him," - explained RBKin the press service of MGIMO.

Nightingale himself told the BBC Russian Service that the university "has the most direct relation" to his dismissal, while he was given to understand that the desire to stop cooperation comes "from some outside party": "I was told that for political reasons the institute considers it extremely undesirable for me to work. In particular, I was accused of i am subversive, i am engaged in anti-state propaganda... This style of wording makes us recall the Soviet past. "In a conversation with MK, he noted that" a new, very important stage in his life is beginning. "

Did the accusation of anti-state activity arise from scratch? What is the "era of drastic changes" mentioned by Nightingale? He considers it to be the beginning of the events around "Golunov cases". A couple of days ago, in an interview with an opposition portal "Moscow activist"the professor said: "Deserve everything, from my point of view, respect those people who took to the streets on June 12. What we are seeing now is this is the formation of massive new rights... This is somewhat similar to what happened in 2011 year, well 2012, we will not take, there the dynamics was already high. That, after all, a large group of people are ready to come out, despite the fact that they are trying to bring down the dynamics on it, despite the fact that these people are being pressured. That is, society is changing literally before our eyes. The readiness for mobilization is much greater than six months ago. Much more. It will grow. But in order for this readiness to turn into something effective, you need to practice, that is, go out into the streets. The willingness to take risks will increase when people see something new. As soon as we feel that there are several tens of thousands of us, and moreover, when these tens of thousands behave a little more organized, and there are chances for this, that is, some kind of organizing principle appears, then the behavior of these people will be different. Not immediately, but gradually, such three or four mass actions will be required in order for people to begin to behave differently, and the downside is for the police to become afraid of them.


I am talking about this quite thoroughly: there are not many police and riot police in Moscow. In reality, there are not many of them, do you understand? And as soon as it takes to the streets 25-30 thousand peoplewhich ready to resist,


which have some kind of organizing principle, the situation will change ...

(Seeker: Is this not a frank call to the Maidan?)

Next year, not in the first half, but in the second, towards the end, we will see that regional authorities will sue local protestersso that in this way put pressure on Moscow.

(I.R .: Oligarchic Maidan?)

This is what we observed at the turn of the eighties and nineties, in 1991, for sure. And this is a practice that will be repeated, there will be nothing unexpected for me personally. All things have happened before. It's just that history has reached them a second time. We are now figuratively at the end of 1989. Feels like ".


The same was broadcast by Nightingale at a recent public debate initiated by libertarian Mikhail Svetov:


“Now a lot has begun to change. Even the beaten and killed people from the opposition felt something different in the air. In autumn you will see it, when a group of people appears who are ready to do something, and she turns to everyone.


Because it is clear what to do, how to do, what to say, what to demand.


For the first time since 2012, and even for the first time since 1990 there was a desire for change, which was not there for 30 years, and there was a willingness to sacrifice something for the sake of these changes. Society in Russia is more and more ready for violence ".


is he predicts revolution, longs for "fire", which will lead to "re-establishment of Russia". He does not like at all, first of all, "aggressive foreign policy".

As it appears, Nightingale intends to propose his own candidacy for the role of "organizing principle" of the Russian Maidan.


But still afraid of security officials: “I assure you that there are 'enthusiasts' calling for tougher and more massive measures. They are preparing for this... Lists of those who need to be taken into custody without charge, they were ready by 2012. And they are replenished. In Moscow, there are about 1.5-2 thousand people. It is believed that if these people are interned, then any political movement will be beheaded.And these "enthusiasts" complain that there is no hard line. Putin, if you like, is actually holding them back. I am not in the least ironic. There are people who are ready to act more decisively and tougher. "


It is worth recalling the main milestones in the biography of Valery Dmitrievich. He was born on 08.19.1960 in the town of Happiness, Voroshilovgrad region, Ukrainian SSR,spent his childhood on Western Ukraine.


Graduated from the Faculty of History of Moscow State University. MV Lomonosov, in 1983-93 he was a graduate student and employee of the Institute of History of the USSR of the Academy of Sciences of the USSR, during the perestroika times he defended his Ph.D. thesis on the topic "The role of the Institute of Red Professors in the formation of Soviet historical science and the development of problems of national history." Since 1993 he worked as one of the leading experts "Gorbachev-fund".

Prepared several reports for international organizations. Parallel passed internship at the London School of Economics and Political Science,worked there as a visiting researcher.

In 2005 he defended his doctoral dissertation on the topic " "Russian question" and its influence on the domestic and foreign policy of Russia (early 18th - early 21st centuries) " and began to intensively establish contacts with part nationalists, claiming status ideologist of the national democracy, "anti-imperialism", "progressive, democratic national liberalism without anti-Semitism and Orthodoxy."


Seriously became close to DPNI * Alexandra Belova / Potkinaand the Russian social movement Konstantin Krylov.


Spotted on "Russian marches" and other events, despite the dissatisfaction of a number of nationalists with the influence "a Jew from the Gorbachev Fund".

Since 2007, he worked at the Department of Advertising and Public Relations of the Moscow State Institute of International Relations of the Russian Foreign Ministry (taught courses "PR and Advertising in Politics", "Fundamentals of Information Warfare and Media Manipulation", "Fundamentals of State Policy in the Information Sphere"). Regular, welcome guest "Echo of Moscow", "Radio Liberty", "Rain" and other hostile sites.

Actively participated in swamp events; rumor has it that he convinced the most frostbitten fighters go to storm the State Duma.

Then he wrote on the website APN: "A revolution has begun in Russia ... As world experience shows, three conditions are needed for the victory of a revolution. First, a high morale of revolutionaries and a progressive weakening of the authorities' ability to resist a revolutionary onslaught. We are already seeing this. The dynamics of mass protest in Moscow and in in other cities, while the morale and physical condition of the police and riot police is deteriorating.After a few days, the police will refuse to follow orders simply because she will have no physical strength.


At the same time, violence against revolutionaries draws new people into mass actions and increases the scale of protest. Even the arrest of a number of street leaders is not able to reduce the intensity of the movement. Quite the opposite, violence emanating from a morally illegitimate government only strengthens the will to win. The second condition for the victory of the revolution is the union of a part of the elite with the insurgent people. The elite are at a loss. Some of its groups are already ready to lend a hand to the revolution, but are afraid to make the wrong move. However, the first swallow appeared. State Duma Deputy, Deputy Chairman of the Security Committee Gennady Gudkoin


not only openly solidarized with the rebellious people, but also took an active part in the protest action on December 6. This is not only a courageous but also a wise step. The print press is ALREADY on the side of the revolution.


Soon they will talk about the revolution and semi-official television channels: first neutral, then sympathetic. And it will become a sign that the elite turned away from their long-hated "national leader".


The third condition and, at the same time, the culmination of the revolution is a symbolic gesture that marks its victory. As a rule, this is the seizure of a building associated with the previous regime. In France there was the storming of the Bastille, in Russia in October 1917 - the capture of the Winter Palace ".

In January 2012 the Nightingale headed working group on the creation of the opposition nationalist party "New Force"(evil tongues spoke about 2 million dollars received from the power five-columnists for the formation of such a structure), 6.10.2012 at the founding congress was elected chairman.

Many prominent members of the New Force soon went to Ukraine to participate in the Euromaidan and the genocide of the Russian population;

let's name the head of the Belgorod branch of the National Assembly Roman Strigunkova(admirer of Adolf Hitler and ex-blogger with the nickname Hitlerolog, leader of the dwarf regional Russian National Socialist Movement, leader of the "Russian Legion" at the Kiev "Euromaidan"),

deputy Chairman of the Murmansk Branch of the National Assembly Alexandra "Pomor-88" Valova


(passed the way from the Murmansk Hitlerist skin-get-togethers to the punitive battalion "Azov" **) or, for example, an activist of the National Assembly, a former film actor Anatoly Pashinin (eventually called for terrorist attacks on the territory of the Russian Federation and joined the 8th separate battalion "Aratta" of the Ukrainian Volunteer Army ** Dmitry Yarosh), who enthusiastically declared: "Valery Solovey is the chairman of our New Force party.I've listened to all of his interviews i'm proud of it, I've read all of his work! ".


In March 2016, Nightingale told reporters that the party was "frozen due to the fact that we were threatened with reprisals."

On November 29, 2017, he entered the campaign headquarters of the candidate for the post of President of the Russian Federation, business ombudsman, leader of the right-wing liberal Growth Party Boris Titov... Supervised in this headquarters ideology, served as a key political strategist.Was a confidant of Titov, represented him at the pre-election debates.


Author of the books "Russian history: a new reading", "The meaning, logic and form of Russian revolutions", "Blood and soil of Russian history", "Failed revolution. Historical meanings of Russian nationalism" (co-authored by sister Tatyana Solovey), "Absolute weapon. Fundamentals psychological warfare and media manipulation "," Revolution! Foundations of the revolutionary struggle in the modern era ", more than two thousand newspaper articles and Internet publications.

From an interview with a liberal portal Znak.com (March 2016):

“The Overton Window is a propaganda myth. And this concept itself is conspiracy in nature: they say, there is a group of people who are planning a decades-long strategy to corrupt society. Never and nowhere in history has anything like this been and cannot be. All changes in the history of mankind occur spontaneously.


This does not mean that there is certainly some kind of conspiracy behind them.... Yes, what was anti-norm 100-200 years ago is suddenly becoming acceptable today. But this is a natural process, there is no need to see here the “furry paw of the Antichrist” who came to this world to arrange Armageddon through homosexual marriages or something else ... I believe that the separation of Russia and Ukraine was a natural process. It began not two years ago, but back in the early 1990s. And even then, many analysts said that Ukraine will inevitably drift towards the West... I repeat, this is a completely natural process. And after the annexation of Crimea to Russia, the war in Donbas, the point of no return has been passed. Now already Ukraine will definitely never be a fraternal state with Russia. Anti-Moscow and anti-Russian sentiments will henceforth be the cornerstone for the formation of national identity of Ukrainians.Here the question can be closed ... Donbassin any situation is doomed to be "Black hole"On the geopolitical map. It will be a region where crime, corruption, economic decline will reign - a kind of European Somalia. There is no point in modernizing something, because Donbass is not particularly needed by anyone ... Russia has neverhttp://zavtra.ru/events/pochemu_professora_solov_ya_ne_poprosili_iz_mgimo_gorazdo_ran_she e be an empire. It was clear even in the 1990s. "

Professor Nightingale regularly mentions some future decision by the Kremlin that will inevitably lead to change.

The activities of a statesman and a politician are always judged on the basis of its finale. If the finale was successful, then all his previous activities are colored in positive tones. If his finale was not successful, not successful, then all his previous activities are also exposed to negative coverage. For President Putin, the final is still ahead, although his era of course ends.

"I believe that in general his activities will be assessed negatively," said Valery Solovey, political scientist, historian, professor at MGIMO.

In Russian history, no leader has been in more favorable conditions than Vladimir Putin. Russia had no external enemies, the attitude of the West, despite all the collisions, was generally benevolent. There were high oil prices, which had a beneficial effect on the country's budget. Society welcomed Putin, after the Yeltsin era it seemed that this was the beginning of the country's revival. And for the first seven to ten years, Putin really justified the credit of public confidence, the country's economy grew and the incomes of the population grew.

And then everything began to change when Vladimir Putin and Dmitry Medvedev conceived and carried out a swap of posts.

“And people were offended, they considered it a deception. In fact, it was a deception,” says Valery Solovey.

People, in whatever country they live, always have psychological fatigue from the ruler, and this fatigue occurs if the ruler has been ruling for a long time, more than ten years. Therefore, if Putin left on time, he would forever remain in history as the greatest ruler who raised Russia from its knees. And today society evaluates the president from the point of view of the deterioration of its social position. The crisis in the country has been going on for the sixth consecutive year and the incomes of the country's citizens have been declining for the sixth year in a row. People think with their pocket and how they will feed their children. This could have been tolerated for two years, when the president said in 2014 that tolerate for two years, and then everything will be fine. And people of course endured. But six years in a row is too much. A colossal irritation in society is caused by the fact that no country in the world will hold a government that cannot cope with the crisis.

"And what about Russia? The president, after being re-elected, appoints the same government headed by the same prime minister named Medvedev, who is openly despised in the country. It's not a secret for anyone. What feelings this should evoke in our people," says Valery Solovey.

And then take it and get it - here's the pension reform. This is a mockery of the people and common sense. In Russia, men in many regions do not live to be sixty-five years old. What is it? The president's rating has been falling in recent years, despite a short-term increase in popularity in connection with the return of Crimea. The people have already had a very large negative experience in recent years, and in the mass consciousness of people, the figure of Putin will be evaluated more and more negatively.

“From the point of view of history, as a historian, I say this, he will be assessed as a person who missed a unique historical chance to ensure the rapid development of Russia.

In the early 2000s, when energy prices were rising, the president missed an opportunity to reform the economy. His liberal entourage told him: why, look what oil prices and they will rise. Why do we need to develop our own industry, we will buy everything. We have enough money for everything and for theft too. It was with such a strange conviction that the president and his entourage lived. Russia will sell raw materials for a long time and there is nowhere to get away from. The question is how and where the proceeds from this are invested, who controls them.

"We will spend them so that the Rotenbergs build themselves luxurious palaces and buy yachts for themselves, the largest in the world. These people, 15 years ago, walked around St. Petersburg in sports trousers and sold small consumer goods in kiosks," says Valery Solovey.

But how many old people in our country are destitute, how many unhappy people. The whole world collects money in the country for the treatment of children abroad, since the state does not have the funds for this. That's what you need to spend money on. If you say that people are our main value, let's invest them in making life even a little better and easier.

The state machine has begun to work worse, street protest will grow, and the Internet will be turned off for us in 2019 - political scientist Valery Solovey told MBH Media what the results of the Single Election Day in Russia show and what to expect in the near future.

On the failure of "United Russia"

- It was predictable that United Russia will perform worse than usual in these elections. However, no one imagined that so much. Neither the experts, nor the employees of the presidential administration, nor the candidates themselves expected this. Moreover, according to my information, during the counting of votes in many regions, the voting results were adjusted. And even despite this, the candidates from the "United Russia" won much less votes than in previous years. Undoubtedly, the "party in power" was defeated in yesterday's elections.

What happened is connected, first of all, with the fact that the change in public attitudes began to turn into a change in political behavior. People dissatisfied, for example, with the pension reform, began to vote against those who are implementing this reform - the current authorities. Previously, dissatisfaction with specific phenomena or processes did not develop into dissatisfaction with those who were behind it.

On the prospects of electoral protest

- Very soon those who voted against United Russia may go to street actions to express their dissatisfaction. So far, they do not do this, since the social reasons are not clear enough. However, it is already clear that street protest in the regions has a core, even though it often has a spontaneous character. In my opinion, an electoral protest may turn into a street protest within a year. It needs time to mature. Life is getting worse, pressure on citizens is intensifying, and very soon Russians will think about taking part in the rallies. Yesterday, many of them voted for the first time not for United Russia, and in a year they may go out to the square demanding the resignation of the authorities. For example, the disconnection of the Russian Internet from the world Internet, which, according to my information, is planned by the authorities at the end of 2019, can provoke mass participation in rallies.

About the conclusions that the authorities will make

- The main thing that the elections showed is that the state machine is working worse and worse, its efficiency is decreasing. Will the election results change anything - I think not. It is unlikely that the authorities will listen to changes in the assessments of their actions by society. In general, elections in Russia have long been a formality that does not seriously affect anything. I also don't think there will be any serious reshuffle in the Kremlin due to the failed election outcome. However, it is clear that the protest potential is growing and will continue to grow, which means that people will use other means to inform the authorities about their discontent.